Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.309387 0.414336 0.536316 0.686392 0.863879 1.064993 1.307951
2025-12-21 0.164249 0.283615 0.445623 0.671421 0.967838 1.334006 1.810453
2025-12-28 0.091069 0.207819 0.393228 0.682523 1.096580 1.643282 2.394117
2026-01-04 0.047834 0.151257 0.345474 0.683066 1.204591 1.932458 2.976051
2026-01-11 0.021587 0.104249 0.292709 0.658914 1.267552 2.160890 3.490835
2026-01-18 0.008755 0.072474 0.252141 0.641234 1.332136 2.391270 4.018338
2026-01-25 0.003362 0.053433 0.228139 0.645022 1.427480 2.669691 4.625534
2026-02-01 0.000726 0.035379 0.194681 0.619791 1.467054 2.862127 5.114316
2026-02-08 0.000164 0.028247 0.187767 0.647827 1.601616 3.208978 5.844696
2026-02-15 0.000005 0.020249 0.171308 0.649211 1.685390 3.477051 6.465332
2026-02-22 NaN 0.017742 0.174616 0.698716 1.864238 3.908428 7.349706
2026-03-01 NaN 0.014344 0.170864 0.728970 2.007082 4.285351 8.161043
2026-03-08 NaN 0.010362 0.159919 0.738856 2.112809 4.609660 8.909888
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006467 0.142445 0.725469 2.169071 4.852012 9.538512
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004492 0.134586 0.738432 2.281519 5.196578 10.340549
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002805 0.124055 0.739641 2.367716 5.497461 11.079913
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001321 0.107433 0.714406 2.391521 5.686401 11.641593
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000553 0.094189 0.695845 2.427480 5.897472 12.244083
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000251 0.087464 0.699939 2.516549 6.209308 13.021003
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000047 0.074661 0.673245 2.527638 6.374526 13.555661
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000020 0.074537 0.702975 2.681119 6.814858 14.564412
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000002 0.068839 0.704451 2.762832 7.120060 15.349772
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000001 0.073163 0.756865 2.979234 7.691479 16.600322